When contemplating the world of tomorrow, one of the questions that
needs answering is: What are the main forces driving the future? It is almost like the holy grail of Futurism. If you could know the main drivers that determine the direction that we will be moving in, then you could guess so much better where our next destination would be.
But before I let the cat out of the bag, I need to give you some context. I am going to draw on two well known concepts.
Who was that guy who came up with the idea of selling sliced bread? For the purpose of this discussion knowing his name is not important, what matters is knowing that sliced bread was initially marketed as the greatest innovation in the baking industry since selling wrapped bread!
This obviously implies that there was a time when bread was sold unwrapped, and someone came up with the bright idea! I am going to add to this the fact that it took 15 years for the idea of sliced bread to rise to the cult status of the best idea ever. But really, isn’t it the most obvious idea ever?
Can we predict the future? This particular question has two answers, which can be combined into a single answer.
The first answer is: Yes, we can definitely predict the future.
The second answer is: No, we can absolutely not predict the future.
Combination answer is:
We can predict the future sometimes, imperfectly, with a varying degree of error.
This is however not the most important question that we should be asking with regard to any type of activity which has as its basis, the goal of predicting the future. The most important question we should be asking, is whether we should be trying?